Repeated from Monday
By Bob Barney
Up until Barack Obama, my predictions for the presidency was quite accurate, going all the way to 1976 (wrong only in the 92 election). However, I will admit that I am going into this election totally without a clear idea who will win, and I want to explain why. Back in 1976, I wrote a thesis in college on how a psychological condition known as cognitive dissonance, could explain elections in America. It was based on the theory of cognitive dissonance, which in simple terms simply meant that people in their own life's conflicts, switch drastically like a pendulum on a clock from left to right. After tragedies or other traumatic events occur in their lives, most people try to "get back to normal" but never can. My theory was this applies to nations, and especially nations like America with free elections. In my theory I predicted that America always looked for balance between liberalism and conservatism. However, when we go into the voting booth--- we tend to actually choose candidates that are on the very left, or very to the right! This is the cognitive dissonance theory as applied to nations in the same way it is applied to people. Hollywood, is full of movies based on cognitive dissonance: The whore who becomes the nun... The crooked politician who becomes the honest politician... And stories with a hero or heroine swap from one extreme to another.